Guezzin Official Competition Rules & Scoring Document

1. Definitions

• Forecast — A user-submitted prediction for a specific asset at a designated forecast slot.
• Forecast Slot — A scheduled time window during which forecasts may be submitted.
• Daily Contest — All forecast slots occurring on a given calendar day.
• Daily Points — The point total earned from all forecasts submitted in a Daily Contest.
• Cumulative Leaderboards — The weekly, monthly, quarterly, and annual ranking systems that use Daily Points.
• Actual Close — The official closing price of the asset as published by the designated data source for that asset class.
• Member — Any eligible user participating in a contest.
• Asset Class — One of the following categories: Crypto, Stocks, ETFs, Futures, or Indices.

2. Closing Price Determination

2.1 Official Closing Price Sources

Each asset class uses a designated official data source to determine the closing price. Guezzin may update or change these sources at any time to ensure accuracy, reliability, or data availability.

Examples of current data sources include (but are not limited to):

• Stocks: Official closing prices published by major U.S. exchanges (e.g., NASDAQ, NYSE).
• ETFs: Official closing prices published by the primary listing exchange or a recognized market data provider.
• Crypto: Published closing prices from a designated cryptocurrency exchange (e.g., Kraken).
• Futures: Official settlement or closing prices published by the relevant futures exchange (e.g., CME Group).
• Indices: Official closing values published by the index provider or a recognized financial data service (e.g., S&P, Dow Jones).

2.2 Flexibility Clause

Guezzin may modify the designated data source for any asset class at any time without notice. Any such change will apply prospectively and will not affect contests already completed.

2.3 Data Integrity

If a data provider issues a corrected or revised closing price, Guezzin may update contest results accordingly.

2.4 Displayed Market Data

Charts and market data displayed within Guezzin may be delayed depending on the asset class and the data provider. For example, certain equity and futures data may be delayed by approximately 10 minutes, while cryptocurrency data may be displayed in real time. Displayed data is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not determine contest outcomes. All contests are settled exclusively using the official closing price published by the designated data source for that asset class, as described in these Rules. Guezzin may update or change charting providers or data sources at any time.

3. Settlement of Competitions and Publication Timing

3.1 Settlement Timing

Competitions are not considered final until the official closing price for the relevant asset has been published by the designated data source. Because publication timing varies by market and provider, settlement may occur:

• immediately after market close,
• several hours after market close, or
• overnight, including after midnight Eastern Time.

3.2 Examples of Publication Timing

These examples illustrate typical timing but are not guaranteed:

• Stocks and ETFs: Closing prices generally publish shortly after U.S. market close.
• Crypto: Closing prices may publish immediately or with minor delays.
• Futures: Some exchanges (e.g., CME Group) publish official settlement prices after midnight ET.
• Indices: Index providers may publish official closing values several hours after the market session ends.

3.3 Pending Status

Until the official closing price is published:

• the contest remains in a pending state,
• rankings and points are not finalized, and
• prizes are not awarded.

Once the official closing price is available, the system automatically settles the contest and updates all rankings.

3.4 Corrections and Revisions

If a data provider issues a corrected or revised closing price, Guezzin may update contest results accordingly.

4. Daily Contest Rules

4.1 Forecast Slots

Each Daily Contest contains up to six forecast slots. Forecast slots open at scheduled times throughout the day (for example: 10:00 AM ET, 11:30 AM ET, 1:00 PM ET, 2:30 PM ET, 4:00 PM ET, and 5:30 PM ET). When a slot opens, members have a 30-minute submission window to enter their forecast. After the submission window closes, no additional forecasts may be submitted for that slot. Forecasts are locked upon submission and cannot be edited. Slot opening times and submission windows may vary by contest or may be modified at Guezzin's discretion.

4.2 Daily Ranking Method

Daily Contest winners are determined solely by forecast accuracy:

• Absolute Error:
  Error = ∣ Forecast - Actual Close ∣
• Ranking: Members are ranked from smallest error to largest error.
• Tie-Breaker: If two or more members have identical errors, the earlier timestamp wins.

4.3 Daily Prizes

Daily prizes are awarded based on the Daily Contest ranking. Daily prizes are independent of all cumulative leaderboards.

4.4 No Points Used for Daily Winners

Daily winners are determined exclusively by proximity and timestamp. Points do not affect daily results.

5. Daily Points (Used Only for Leaderboards)

5.1 Accuracy Calculation

For each forecast:
Accuracy = 1 - ∣Forecast - Actual Close∣ / Actual Close

5.2 Accuracy-to-Points Conversion

Each forecast earns points according to the following table:

5.3 Percentage Displayed vs. Actual

Percentage displayed is rounded to the nearest hundredth, however point calculation is based on actual percentage result.

5.4 Daily Points Total

• Daily Points = sum of points from all forecasts submitted that day.
• All forecasts count.
• No best-of logic at the daily level.
• If a member submits fewer than all available forecasts, only submitted forecasts count.

6. Weekly Leaderboard Rules

6.1 Weekly Period

Monday 00:00 ET through Sunday 23:59 ET.

6.2 Weekly Score Calculation

Weekly Score = sum of the best 5 Daily Points totals.

6.3 Weekly Prizes

Weekly prizes are awarded based on Weekly Scores.

7. Monthly Leaderboard Rules

7.1 Monthly Period

Calendar month (1st through last day).

7.2 Monthly Score Calculation

Monthly Score = sum of the best 3 Weekly Scores.

7.3 Monthly Prizes

Monthly prizes are awarded based on Monthly Scores.

8. Quarterly Leaderboard Rules

8.1 Quarterly Periods

• Q1: January–March
• Q2: April–June
• Q3: July–September
• Q4: October–December

8.2 Quarterly Score Calculation

Quarterly Score = sum of the best 2 Monthly Scores.

8.3 Quarterly Prizes

Quarterly prizes are awarded based on Quarterly Scores.

9. Annual Leaderboard Rules

9.1 Annual Period

January 1 through December 31.

9.2 Annual Score Calculation

Annual Score = sum of the best 3 Quarterly Scores.

9.3 Annual Prizes

Annual prizes are awarded based on Annual Scores.

9.4 Jurisdictional Requirements

Guezzin may exclude certain jurisdictions from the Annual Contest or comply with applicable bonding, registration, or regulatory requirements as needed. Any such limitations or compliance measures will apply prospectively and will not affect prizes already awarded.

10. Tie-Breaking Rules

10.1 Daily Contests

• Smaller absolute error wins.
• If tied, earlier timestamp wins.

10.2 Cumulative Leaderboards

If two or more members have identical total points:

1. Compare highest individual Daily Points total within the period.
2. If still tied, compare second-highest Daily Points total.
3. Continue until resolved.
4. If still tied, earliest timestamp of the highest-scoring forecast wins.

11. Transparency and Display Rules

• All Daily Points, Weekly Scores, Monthly Scores, Quarterly Scores, and Annual Scores must be visible to members.
• Counted scores must be highlighted.
• Dropped scores must be greyed out or labeled "Dropped."
• Each leaderboard must include a note explaining how many scores were dropped.

12. Modifications

Guezzin may modify competition formats, scoring rules, prize structures, data sources, or eligibility requirements at any time. Any changes will apply prospectively and will not affect prizes already awarded.

13. Disqualification

Guezzin may disqualify any member for:

• Fraud
• Manipulation
• Abuse of the platform
• Multiple accounts
• Violations of the Terms of Service
• Any behavior that undermines the fairness or integrity of competitions

14. Interpretation

In the event of ambiguity, Guezzin's interpretation of these rules is final.